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Though I was secretly hoping for a bigger landslide, did I call it the other day or what? only missed Indiana. And as predicted, North Carolina would be the tightest state, and it still hasn’t been called.
Congrats Obama & Family. Good pick America.
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Let the bets begin. Here’s my projections for the electoral map
With a lot of the state polls tightening, the Bradley effect, the reverse-Bradley effect, the republican 72 hour blitz, voter turn out suppression, and machine malfunctions, here’s my gut take.
There will not be an Obama landslide victor nor a McCain upset.
Obama’s definitely on the offense, but I don’t think they’ll flip many of those red states. What it does do is it forces McCain to spread resources towards defense and away from key battleground states.
As exciting as it would be, and maybe I just don’t want to get my hopes up, even though Obama’s storming into McCain’s home state of Arizona, and new south states like Georgia, I’m leaving them in McCain’s column.
Polls seem to be shifting in McCain’s direction in huge battlegrounds like Pennsylvania and Ohio, but I say it’s too little too late.
With Florida’s extended voting early voting hours, and what’s happened to them in the past elections, I can’t see democrats and independents sitting this one out.
My take is North Carolina might be the tightest races of election night, and that one is trending Obama.
My final tally, Obama takes it by 353 to McCain 185.
I also don’t think the democrats will get the 60-seat filibuster proof senate, but they’ll come real close.
Keep in mind a lot can still happen in the coming days. I can’t believe there can possibly still be any undecided voters after two years of campaigning with heavy media coverage. I do think that much of the youth vote might not be captured in the current polls, and many independents could swing back to republican roots do to cultural concerns.
* I just saw on the news that 15% of Canadians were surveyed to be willing to forfeit their own vote in the Canadian elections to vote for Obama.
** I would love to play a game of Risk with Obama’s campaign strategists Plouffe and Axelord just to see how badly they could smoke me.
*** What a mess the next president will be inheriting.
What do you think? Come up with your own election projections here.
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Barack Obama drew a crowd of 100,000 at a rally near the Gateway Arch in St. Louis on Saturday, the AP reports. McCain spent the day campaigning in North Carolina.
CNN projects that if the election were held today, Obama would be guaranteed a win, even without including any of the toss up states. Realclearpolitics.com and fivethirtyeight.com are both projecting landslide victories of 350-370 electoral votes, well beyond the 270 required.
Obama continues to caution supporters to ‘remember new hampshire’ when the polls seemed to be wrong. The polls will undoubtedly tighten, but I don’t see any way for the Republicans from facing complete embarrassment.
Some thoughts and questions
I met my first Canadian Obama fan who’s been following the campaign closer than I am… and has contributed to the campaign and distributed the audacity of hope to friends. wow, way to go Zaya!
As much as I love Obama, I don’t think he’ll ‘transform washington’. He’s going to have a massive hole to dig out of.
What I do think will be transformative, is the impact 10-20 years from now due to the the number of young adults that have been engaged because of Obama.
The first black president has a ring to it, but why isn’t Obama touted as the first half-white or bi-racial president?
Is there any chance McCain might take the high road and end this campaign with some dignity?
The more people seem to know about Palin, the less they seem to like her. At least with independents. Troopergate was a mess.
Obama and McCain roasted each other at a recent charity function. Both quite funny.
Chuck Todd’s really become quite a political superstar analyst this election cycle, but I think the Microsoft Surface table he’s been using is totally lame.
I finally got around to looking at the platform of the Canadian Christian heritage party. There’s twice as right winged as the Republicans. I’m embarrassed by their platform. I hope that doesn’t get me into trouble.
I wonder what politics this year has revealed about evangelicals?
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On the front page of the Huffington Post this morning…
According to the article just about every country surveyed people around the world largely prefer Barack Obama as President. Yet the rare instance he’s tied with John McCain is in the United States.
Why is that?
Are people around the world just less informed? infatuated with terrorist fist jabs? too liberal? He’s no savior, but I like him. C’mon American’s get on board.
Here’s a new video some of you might appreciate – called ‘dumped for obama’
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A great photo of the Obamas watching Clinton’s speech.
What must be going through their minds?
I can’t believe she’s not conceding nor suspending her campaign.
Is she making her case for VP?
Is she putting an asterisk on the nomination to set her up for 2012?
Is she trying to transition her supporters to Obama in some odd way?
I can’t believe the drama still continues… I’m sure there’s something for all of us to learn from this whole saga…
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Exploring the intersections of Leadership, Creativity, Church, and Culture
